Below are all the categories in the upcoming 2012 BAFTA Film Awards. The nominees are listed below each heading, with my prediction for the winner in bold.
THE ARTIST Thomas Langmann
THE DESCENDANTS Jim Burke, Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor
DRIVE Marc Platt, Adam Siegel
THE HELP Brunson Green, Chris Columbus, Michael Barnathan
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Robyn Slovo
Comment: Both Drive and The Help will be pleased with a nomination, and Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy is likely to triumph in the ‘Outstanding British Film’ category rather than here (see below). Awards to this point suggest a relatively close call between The Descendants, which has gathered recent momentum, and The Artist – but I fully expect The Artist to triumph here.
OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
MY WEEK WITH MARILYN Simon Curtis, David Parfitt, Harvey Weinstein, Adrian Hodges
SENNA Asif Kapadia, James Gay-Rees, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Manish Pandey
SHAME Steve McQueen, Iain Canning, Emile Sherman, Abi Morgan
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Tomas Alfredson, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Robyn Slovo, Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughan
WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN Lynne Ramsay, Luc Roeg, Jennifer Fox, Robert Salerno, Rory Stewart Kinnear
Comment: Presuming it doesn’t cause an upset and win ‘Best Film’, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy should be a certainty to scoop this much-deserved BAFTA.
OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
ATTACK THE BLOCK Joe Cornish (Director/Writer)
BLACK POND Will Sharpe (Director/Writer), Tom Kingsley (Director), Sarah Brocklehurst (Producer)
CORIOLANUS Ralph Fiennes (Director)
SUBMARINE Richard Ayoade (Director/Writer)
TYRANNOSAUR Paddy Considine (Director), Diarmid Scrimshaw (Producer)
Comment: After snubbing Olivia Colman a Best Actress nomination and Peter Mullan a Supporting Actor nomination, BAFTA may feel an obligation to give this one to Paddy Considine’s directorial debut, Tyrannosaur.
FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
INCENDIES Denis Villeneuve, Luc Déry, Kim McGraw
PINA Wim Wenders, Gian-Piero Ringel
POTICHE François Ozon, Eric Altmayer, Nicolas Altmayer
A SEPARATION Asghar Farhadi
THE SKIN I LIVE IN Pedro Almodóvar, Agustin Almodóvar
Comment: After winning at the Golden Globes and the London Critics’ Circle awards, A Separation is almost a dead-cert to win.
GEORGE HARRISON: LIVING IN THE MATERIAL WORLD Martin Scorsese
PROJECT NIM James Marsh, Simon Chinn
SENNA Asif Kapadia
Comment: Shamefully overlooked for an Oscar nomination, director Asif Kapadia will hopefully find consolation with a win for Senna here.
THE ADVENTURES OF TINTIN: THE SECRET OF THE UNICORN Steven Spielberg
ARTHUR CHRISTMAS Sarah Smith
RANGO Gore Verbinski
Comment: Rango was seen as a definite possibility, but The Adventures of Tintin’s Golden Globe win puts it well out in front. Plus, it’s an excuse to get Spielberg up on stage.
THE ARTIST Michel Hazanavicius
DRIVE Nicolas Winding Refn
HUGO Martin Scorsese
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Tomas Alfredson
WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN Lynne Ramsay
Comment: This is a particularly tight category, with a case to be made for any of the nominees. I expect the lack of awards-buzz to kill off Lynne Ramsay’s chances, and Nicolas Winding Refn may be too much of a radical option for many of the voters (even though he won at Cannes). Tomas Alfredson’s best chance is for Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy to have a prolific night, it that happens he might sneak it. Scorsese scooped the Globe, but I expect Hazanavicius to take this one.
THE ARTIST Michel Hazanavicius
BRIDESMAIDS Annie Mumolo, Kristen Wiig
THE GUARD John Michael McDonagh
THE IRON LADY Abi Morgan
MIDNIGHT IN PARIS Woody Allen
Comment: While many have questioned whether Midnight in Paris is deserving enough to scoop screenplay awards across the board, Woody Allen recently won at the Golden Globes and that makes him the front runner. Hazanavicius is lying in wait but Woody is the favourite.
THE DESCENDANTS Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash
THE HELP Tate Taylor
THE IDES OF MARCH George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon
MONEYBALL Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughan
Comment: Another tricky one – Moneyball may be a bit too American for BAFTA, likewise with The Ides. The Help and The Descendants are both lurking, but I expect Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy to take this along with ‘Best British Film’ – if it does so, the team behind the cold war-era spy drama will consider it a successful night.
BRAD PITT Moneyball
GARY OLDMAN Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
GEORGE CLOONEY The Descendants
JEAN DUJARDIN The Artist
MICHAEL FASSBENDER Shame
Comment: This is perhaps the hardest category to predict. I anticipate that Brad Pitt will miss out, though he may have more chance come the Oscars. Gary Oldman has got a shot with BAFTA, and if Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy does have that prolific night, he may be in with a chance. Michael Fassbender is the dark horse, and would be a fully deserving winner, but I think he’ll fall just outside. George Clooney and Jean Dujardin both triumphed at the Golden Globes (in Drama and Comedy/Musical acting categories respectively), and I think it’s close between the two. My prediction – Dujardin to just edge this one and Clooney to take the Oscar.
BÉRÉNICE BEJO The Artist
MERYL STREEP The Iron Lady
MICHELLE WILLIAMS My Week with Marilyn
TILDA SWINTON We Need to Talk About Kevin
VIOLA DAVIS The Help
Comment: This is probably a two-horse race between Streep and Davis, though Michelle Williams has an outside chance. I anticipate Streep to win, and for that momentum to also carry her through to Oscar glory.
CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER Beginners
JIM BROADBENT The Iron Lady
JONAH HILL Moneyball
KENNETH BRANAGH My Week with Marilyn
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN The Ides of March
Comment: One of the strongest categories of the night – as evidenced by the fact that no one from Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy was even nominated (Hardy, Strong, Cumberbatch, Hurt; no one would have begrudged them a nod) – I believe Plummer will take it comfortably, though Branagh has an outside chance after winning at the London Critics’ Circle yesterday.
CAREY MULLIGAN Drive
JESSICA CHASTAIN The Help
JUDI DENCH My Week with Marilyn
MELISSA MCCARTHY Bridesmaids
OCTAVIA SPENCER The Help
Comment: Carey Mulligan is probably nominated for the wrong film (she was brilliant in Shame), and Melissa McCarthy and Judi Dench don’t have much chance (unless BAFTA decide that either of those films deserve an award). Octavia Spencer is the favourite after her Golden Globe triumph, but I predict Chastain to run her close. Spencer by a hair.
THE ARTIST Ludovic Bource
THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
HUGO Howard Shore
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Alberto Iglesias
WAR HORSE John Williams
Comment: After it’s Golden Globe win in the same category, I expect The Artist to be triumphant.
THE ARTIST Guillaume Schiffman
THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO Jeff Cronenweth
HUGO Robert Richardson
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Hoyte van Hoytema
WAR HORSE Janusz Kaminski
Comment: Few will aruge with the suggestion that Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy looked phenomenal, and I think it will win here. Hugo has a shot if BAFTA feel like rewarding 3D, and The Artist could have one of those years where it scoops almost everything it’s nominated for. War Horse is an outside bet.
THE ARTIST Anne-Sophie Bion, Michel Hazanavicius
DRIVE Mat Newman
HUGO Thelma Schoonmaker
SENNA Gregers Sall, Chris King
TINKER TAILOR SOLIDER SPY Dino Jonsater
Comment: A glaring omission in this category is David Fincher’s The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, which contained the best editing I’ve seen all year. This award depends on a number of factors. Arguably, The Artist might have a night where it wins every other prize. Alternatively, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy might have a ‘it probably won’t win any Oscars so let’s frontload it’ ceremony. My brain says The Artist, but I’m going to make a slightly more brave prediction here and go for Senna because it’s edited so differently from all the others – amassed entirely from archive footage, this biopic of the legendary Ayrton Senna is a superb bit of craft, and it’s my pick.
THE ARTIST Laurence Bennett, Robert Gould
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS – PART 2 Stuart Craig, Stephenie McMillan
HUGO Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Maria Djurkovic, Tatiana MacDonald
WAR HORSE Rick Carter, Lee Sandales
Comment: I think Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy will win here, with The Artist running second.
THE ARTIST Mark Bridges
HUGO Sandy Powell
JANE EYRE Michael O’Connor
MY WEEK WITH MARILYN Jill Taylor
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY Jacqueline Durran
Comment: I anticipate The Artist will triumph again here, though it could be a chance for Jane Eyre or My Week With Marilyn to steal one.
MAKE UP & HAIR
THE ARTIST Julie Hewett, Cydney Cornell
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS – PART 2 Amanda Knight, Lisa Tomblin
HUGO Morag Ross, Jan Archibald
THE IRON LADY Marese Langan
MY WEEK WITH MARILYN Jenny Shircore
Comment: Again, the same as the above, though The Iron Lady could cause an upset.
THE ARTIST Nadine Muse, Gérard Lamps, Michael Krikorian
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS – PART 2 James Mather, Stuart Wilson, Stuart Hilliker, Mike Dowson, Adam Scrivener
HUGO Philip Stockton, Eugene Gearty, Tom Fleischman, John Midgley
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY John Casali, Howard Bargroff, Doug Cooper, Stephen Griffiths, Andy Shelley
WAR HORSE Stuart Wilson, Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson, Richard Hymns
Comment: The perplexing question here is how could they award it to The Artist? I expect Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy to triumph bar any surprises.
SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
THE ADVENTURES OF TINTIN: THE SECRET OF THE UNICORN Joe Letteri
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS – PART 2 Tim Burke, John Richardson, Greg Butler, David Vickery
HUGO Rob Legato, Ben Grossman, Joss Williams
RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White
WAR HORSE Ben Morris, Neil Corbould
Comment: This is a close one. If Tintin wins ‘Animated Film’ it will probably miss out here. Rise of the Planet of the Apes has a chance if BAFTA feel like honoring the excellent motion-capture, but I expect Hugo to win. Seeing as I’ve predicted it to fall short in most categories, this could be its moment.
THE ORANGE WEDNESDAYS RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)
Comment: Hiddlestone has had the most prolific year out of the nominees, with parts in Thor, War Horse, The Deep Blue Sea, Archipelago and Midnight in Paris winning him much appraisal. It’s voted by the public, so you never know, but I think he will triumph.